I have written on this before but I have to revisit as it is doing my bloody head in. It may come as a surprise to some of you but as a non player of FIFA 14 I am still capable of understanding the concept of what constitutes a top striker. In particular I can work out what the term ’30 goal a season man‘ means. I am forever told that we need one and if we buy one we will be the finished article having got the keeper, defense and midfield sorted. Excellent now Arsene/Ivan go and do your stuff in the next 3 weeks and the league is ours. Yawn!
I have written on this at least twice before but I am not sure anyone believes me so I will do it again. Defences are improving and more and more teams are playing with one main striker as we know so in truth the 30 goal a season is about as rare as a league title in Seven Sisters.
However I will recap in brief the ground I have covered in the last 2 transfer windows as the frenzy for us to buy the non-existent reaches fever pitch. We are just over half way or bang on half way through the season in the top 6 European leagues so shall we just have a quick look to see who is on target to be the 30 goal a season player who apparently Wenger can just pop out the the Footie Superstore to buy, presumably collect some sort of loyalty points at the same time.
Let’s start with who is on track to have 30 league goals, the rarest breed of all strikers:
|Player||Club||League Goals||Pro Rata|
|Diego Costa||Athletico Madrid||19||38|
|C Ronaldo||Real Madrid||18||36|
So there you have it. Not the most extensive list is it? Okay so RVP and Messi been injured but RVP won’t do it over 30 anyway and neither on our buy list. So that leaves only Costa as a realistic target as we know that the others are unattainable or committed elsewhere. Unless you all want ‘Uncle Alfred‘
Do we truly believe that Athletico Madrid, with a genuine tilt at the Champions League and breaking the Barca/Real dominance domestically will be selling their prize asset this month? Or as suggested there is a release clause why assume the player would want to leave if his present club stand a good chance of progressing in the ECL.
Okay so I am being overly harsh suggesting you all meant 30 league goals when you call for a ’30 Goal a season man’? Perhaps I am so let us expand this exhaustive list to include the plethora of strikers on course for 30 or more in all competitions for their clubs.
|Player||Club||Club goals all comps||Pro Rata|
|C Ronaldo||Real Madrid||30||60|
|Diego Costa||Athletico Madrid||23||46|
|Sergio Aguero||Man City||19||38 *Injured|
|R Lewandowski||B Dortmund||16||32|
So there we have it. Another super exhaustive shopping list of 30 goals a season strikers for Wenger to pick up for Arsenal this month. Only 11 player across 6 leagues in England, Spain, Italy, Germany, France and Holland look likely to fall into the bracket so often bandied about!
So perhaps is really is not that easy at all, although we could nip in ahead of Newcastle who are reportedly in for Icelandic international Alfred Finnbogason who is banging them in for Heerenveen this season! I have championed Dutch players in the past. I feel Bony was one we should have gone for but then I also suggested Das Dost who also bagged 30 plus for Heerenveen before failing to replicate in the Bundesliga for Wolfsburg. Then there is Josie Altidore, well enough said.
The only other possible is Jackson Martinez the Colombian from Porto who I wrote on last season who has also been mentioned. I believe there is a release clause and he did score over 30 in all competitions last season. This was the last blog I write about the difficulty of finding the 30 goal man.
This is not supposed to be a negative article but it is supposed to be a reality check. The strikers so readily described as 30 goals a season players are few and far between, even if you have money to spend. 20 goal a season players are available and can be worked on at Arsenal so let’s be a tad more realistic. Giroud scored 17 last season in all competitions and is on track for 24/25 this season. He may or not be the long term solution but the reality is that improving on him in January to fit our style of play the options are limited at best.
So shall we just get behind the squad and hope that they support Giroud efforts with multiple inputs from our midfield/wide men and if we need to enter the market in the next few weeks due to injuries perhaps temper expectations. The key to success in the next few months may well be in us getting 5/6 goals from Cazorla, Ozil, Ramsey, Wilshere, Podolski, Ox and Gnabry, particularly if Theo is out for a few week or more.
If we sign a striker as we may well do just remember the ones you all want may not be coming. However the one we get may be the one every other club wants in a year or two and we are no longer a selling club. On that subject there is some talk of Morata on loan from Madrid. If Spain is the market and we are looking for present cover and a long term replacement for Olivier I would still consider Paco Alcacer (previous article) who is still not getting a look in for Valencia in La Liga, yet has 4 goals in 4 games in the cups both Europa and domestic. Given that their strikers are all misfiring I cannot work out why the youngster who the fans love is not being given a run in the team. Perhaps someone who knows more about Spanish football than I will enlighten me. After all Wenger has been watching this lad since he was 12!
Me I still fancy a punt on Ings….
Onwards and upwards.
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